November 28, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Point the Way | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Crush | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nate’s Way | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Set Joe | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krisynsarasboy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Sharp Lewie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Priority | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Memories | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Krafty Boy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Graceful | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Throwacross | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Watch My Smoke | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Big Gig | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Actif One | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Charlie’s Affair | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macandales | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Running Unbridled | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shezaone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Risen Cork | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | French Roast | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Smile | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Lisa | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Princess | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gabriela’s Tears | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Auby | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One K Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s Ours | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Azuralee | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just a Bandit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Her High Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Full Fleet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Babe | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party Tarde | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Darion’s Dream | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Come On Nancy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight Star | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missbudlitetime | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notional Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conspicuous Woman | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | A We Bit Flirty | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stage Show | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pressing Luck | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Core Portfolio | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’t Mach Me | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Lydgate | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Buddy Chuck | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Primary Patrick | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jake Jourdan | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Howe Amazing | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fiddlers Dance | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 1.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Star | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kapenta | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J P of Galilee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Moon | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandana Heat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Singing Aces | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Light Ridge | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Trickertweet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cavallotto | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit for Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point of America | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buck Dynasty | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Command | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Pirate | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huffs Untouchable | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ida’s Warrior | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Overnight Stay | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pilot House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Elkhorn Poet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bellarmine | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Battle Colors | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bagpipes | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Who Datawaki | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Randy Paul | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kenai Star | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Louisiana Moon | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Couch Trainer | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Ice | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. E Edwards | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gobler | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Makers Star | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie’sarchangel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Makeyourownluck | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bankers Honour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | D’wild Baroness | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Rhea Run | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kehron’s Creed | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Big Money | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Woman | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wildcat Springs | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Are the Best | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.