November 29, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn’s Grip | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ms Sassy Speed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Cheeper to Keeper | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Speedpoint | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Olla Podrida | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sounds Like Forty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Ready Cat | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lady Diamondback | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reddy to Bet | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Anne | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunnyonastormyday | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Actor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roaring Star Fire | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monsieur Brown | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vivinsky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hold Me Kat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mauk Power | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Drossel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puddin’s the Man | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donna’s Court | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashyboy Bobb | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Rodeo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Choose No More | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Galaxy | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Closing the Gap | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing a Saint | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scottish Stretch | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Little Tator Tot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gio Point | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roadtogold | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Shot | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April Mae | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect for Me | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Town | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outoftheballpark | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wise Woman | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Countess | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bermuda Bridge | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tax Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Oleta Inez | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zarla | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Hit | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Toast to Gertie | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Call | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Kitty | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D D’s Delight | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harlans Warrior | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gabby’s Freedom | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shiloh County | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Commanding Action | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star of Kobol | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mamadancesinthesky | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laura’s Pick | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unconventional | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indian Bayou | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winnie the Roo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nelly Relly | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m a Great Rebel | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Realmente Calmada | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstage Star | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anita Bonita | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blakes Happiness | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show’em the Heat | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striscetta | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyzblues | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ribbon Girl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alamo Star | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Val’s Pal | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Smart Prospector | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Pancho | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot Father | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spinning Pegasus | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lanies Choice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Wins | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Won Again | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gasolina | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kelcorcee | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucy’s Revenge | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Madam | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pearl’s Opinion | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Argumentally Elle | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Data Girl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Touch Me | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Easter Snap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cadillac Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nomo Ron | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Flash of Copper | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Boehrer | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enticing Shaq | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chris’ Redding | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gradyz Kat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chase for the Gold | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Leg John | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.