November 30, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gin and Jag | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hudson’s Hunt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Natalio | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ipidate | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimjeff | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oliver’s Prayer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Star of Ruston | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Run Trickey Run | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Letsgetitontoo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kiss Your Bride | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Can Fly | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Gentrified | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Coast | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Salute | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mystorynmstikntoit | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapster | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inspire Courage | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pure Valor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Adrenaline | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Titanium Pledge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Power Jet | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G Cisive | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Ruler | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | See Carlos Run | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fats | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Marvin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galiamo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Apriority | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | History Earned | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Town Surprise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Castle Zip | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skipadee Due Da | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wait N C Spring | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New Lucky Penny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ringneckdove | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Seattle Firm | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lass | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Golden Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Bu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Old Fashion Amour | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Chrome | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malila | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sharp Henny | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Journey | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shy Ruston | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Elle Les Yu | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jaded Rose | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | General Tone | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Mayhem | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Luwegee | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Blessing | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ Truth | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dewey’s Bull | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Production | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nebulas | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navy Typist | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zipzaptime | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landonese | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tristan’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pinchout | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Addaichi | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First to Score | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Romance | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Michael | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tornado Man | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Temprano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Donwell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Just Kissing Buck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Ruler | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cowboy Rhythm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No One Greater | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Soul P Say | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flying Honeypot | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Andy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Mallory | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Carol | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bernadettes Vision | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crescent Lace | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seaside Surprise | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boggidyboggidy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fine N On Time | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Custom Chrome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Look Happy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gus’s Tizzy | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hold Me Kat | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Eduard | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Village | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Investment | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonecrushervincent | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R. C. Owens | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waitnon Bob | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rail’s Genuine Boy | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.