December 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Texican | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kye’s Addycat | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talkothtown | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overlyappealing | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ray’s King | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asap | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Doctor | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blake’s Father | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Racy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Majino | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Vision | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Hero | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byanymeans | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep End | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excitable Girl | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Thrill Is On | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vidrine’s Choice | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Story | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Net a Bear | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncomplicated | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Granfathersleugirl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Los Suenos | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millie Bee | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Jen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ladygogently | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bandit’s Deelite | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See What’s What | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Andy Man | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hustle N Jive | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halos Prayer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Landing Man | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lougarou | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Prospector | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trident Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bitsy’s Half | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Successful Story | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Ide | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Star | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steppin’ Outonher | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Formidable | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ty’s Agenda | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | K One Kobra | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | River Pride | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Princess Arwen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sizzle Factor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seveneightnine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kilasa | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summertime Gal | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born to D’ Wild | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Costa Sugar | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queezee Proud | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiz One Fee | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skeeter | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Guretta | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ardesia | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Angeles | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | All Effort | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Prime Patriot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Lily’s Pose | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Keene’s Desire | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mysterious Kingdom | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Customs in Dixie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gladee’s Gray Lady | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mitch’s Pins | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Navy Regatta | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maga Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Current | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lord Colliery | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Sniper | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Book | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Herbie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mug Shot Man | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Banjo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Binding | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lukie (GB) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A P’s Winner | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catalogue | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapnow | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Far Out Time | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinlee’s Song | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And Yet Another | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jersey Bullet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Shining Star | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Binder | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flatteroni | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supersonicsong | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Tanner Go | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clip Joint | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.