December 13, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Engine | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost’s Song | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Escape | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Connolly’s Beads | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzante | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soup Baby | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ajnadeen | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angry Moon | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel Can Disco | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Rule | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Venerable Bede | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hot Mesa | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Party On Prospect | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Tom’s Music | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call the Cat | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Where’s Rudy | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Huracan | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Phantomof the Nile | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Over Salty | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eighty Seven North | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lem Me Have It | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galadriel’s Light | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gattino Marrone | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Pinky | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roziere | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ok Honey | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | California Night | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Full Salute | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Reed Kan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Asterisk | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Happy Farm | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adulation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hexameter | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arrowsphere | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashiononthesurge | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Athwaaq | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Deal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Victoria Rose | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsjustnotyourday | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Summer Squeeze | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Puffery | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Beyond Discreet | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pas de Deuce | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pachamama | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Jen | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Carlisle Belle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curlin Creek | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air On Fire | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duncastle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catpsalm | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Siena Magic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linns Boy | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justinspeightofit | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.