December 13, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Player | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Organic Jenny | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vampa | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Pride | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Diego Slugger | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Fast | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Luna | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flashproudwild | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roses for Martina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Aqua Gem | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Heart | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Poesia | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Catch Lexi | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Now It’s Nine | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Conquest Point | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Panda | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Morningstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Courage and Honor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Over Sensual | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rupp | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why God | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Juan and Bina | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | All Golden | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Indian Myth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Scorched Earth | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | White as Cotton | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Memorize | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enigmatica | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hardcore Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Whale | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Neck | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Total Treasure | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Thorpe d’Oro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Farley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Iana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | One Bad Hombre | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lovingrdsimmar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silver Wings Reven | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Possible | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Teak | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wellwest | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toss | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plea Bargain | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Pipe | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Party | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dublin Tinker | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger’s Coming | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Boss | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Ain’t Right | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Moon | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Maximum | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna Passer | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of Beas | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoken Deb | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modern Muse | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzire | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mississippi Sound | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arch of Troy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bogulator | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Atlas | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Rose | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clyde’s Queen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arabella Bella | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magician’s Vanity | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Diva | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sapphire Jubilee | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Maddy’s Salsa | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Expect a Kitten | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Asscher | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She Nailed It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | What About Tonight | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Magalie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Miss Wilby | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Galileo’s Affair | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Nile Princess | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kittian Hill | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tormenta de Oro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Motion’s First | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dynatown | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Salt Pond | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Life | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All About Stella | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glittering Judy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eila | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dahlonega | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Star | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lapantalones Fance | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Positive Thinking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gran Diamond | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Looking for More | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Entrez Encore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Veldt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Feature Creature | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spiced Rum Punch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Hendaya | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Csaba Momma | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Mertz | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Rosa Star | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meyer Crown | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | For Reef’s Sake | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | My Blue Cat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Miami Rose | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Flying My Way | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.