December 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boss Time Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Run to Glory | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Like a Haint | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jonesboro Polly | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double P’s Tavern | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Chrome | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Copper Lady | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Emily’s Entourage | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Old Fashion Amour | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heaven’s Devil | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mangelsen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Musada | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natealyze | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Crocodile Jacques | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prizeless | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Power Jet | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Four Sevens | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sunshine Deelite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flying Bling | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shameful Gal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dial Em In | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No No No | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Spirit | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Los Suenos | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesthecatsmeow | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takilla Shotz | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Bev | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jo Blanco | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love Davos | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roadtogold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Racy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mac’s Is Ruling | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mamadancesinthesky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Kitty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Turkish Delight | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Countess | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quick Rae Rae | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Vision | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unconventional | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Winnie the Roo | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pointman | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jr’s Sauvage | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donna’s Court | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Bay | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | They’ll Seeintime | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Man | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Eduard | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shermaesque Flag | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jobay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rooster Bullet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Handsome Jack | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sparky Sparkles | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Wild Dancer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jade Star | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lukes Bad Boy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Runaway Ide | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gray Ransom | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kelcorcee | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River Pride | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Zipcity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Shine | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pressing Luck | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Union Salute | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My New Guiter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arkansas Martini | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pilot House | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Steppin’ Outonher | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Audacious Angel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Giagiajoe | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pi | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapindeed | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Untethered Soul | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Millie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Glossy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Harlons Commision | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chloe Raven | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Loretta | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ide Stang You | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz One Fee | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charzee Baby | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Selma T | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Down Britt | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Reina Isabel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wise Journey | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toga | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dyna Ghost | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Graceful Rules | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louisiana Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Punch | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kye’s Addycat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saint Dansant | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kiss Your Bride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Toga | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aunya Ruling | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.