December 23, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arewehavingfunyet | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Havana Affair | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not About the Nail | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Girl | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preziosa | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woundwithhereyes | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Call the Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Novus | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Support Our Cause | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pragmatist | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shiloh Lane | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somebody | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Platinum Nugget | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Lane | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Power | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Halo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joopster | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heavy Meddle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swiping Dan | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Science Fiction | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Mischief | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Crossing | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Vengeance | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roses From Ben | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benina | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What a Catch | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mohican | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatexcel | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Sea | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wushu Warrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Story | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Felix in Fabula | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Start | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Abraxan | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tappanzee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Charge | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Sweep | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trumpit | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | September Gurl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Blindness | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Delta Gamma | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anydayisherday | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ja’s Malibu | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Banker | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orbilicious | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandra’s Mine | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eagle Pass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Sigh | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Point to Remember | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diddley | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincento | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blewitt | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prompt | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold for the King | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Recruiting Ready | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Sunshine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Lute | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nolinski | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Altesino | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopper Dropper | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infield Is In | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Colonial Boy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | River Knight | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Twenty Nine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confederation | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.