December 26, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ruff House | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Captain Chatain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Jack | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Keep the Commish | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Card Shark | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’digger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brylee’s Deelite | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andrews Speedracer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calmack | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minister of Gold | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Old Pep N Step | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Paddy O | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seattle Brew | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Out Late | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saffron Spirit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Neko | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Princesses | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash N Go | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Honduras | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Springs | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wakeway Dancer | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Thirsty | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sattersfield | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Prayers | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Madelyns On | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Racin Prayer | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glorieta | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blowin Your Mind | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Song for Heddings | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kim’s Wilcat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malique | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Seventeen | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Victorious Gold | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tricky Creed | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Biblical Strength | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Dealer | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Sorry Ruston | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krafty Boy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Graceful | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy This | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That’s D ‘cat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macandales | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Joemo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Run Rocket | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Reece’s Pal | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fire Makers Star | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ryder Rocket | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Point the Way | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Hero Pappy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Meditate | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Amazon | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | After Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Binder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cossinade Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Texican | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zipzaptime | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatteroni | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Fast Dixie Gold | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | First to Score | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Office | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Spirit of Royalty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ribbon Cane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mobile Beige | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catalogue | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Boehrer | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Easter Snap | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bullet the New Sky | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Ike Wolf | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sarge’s Daughter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Taylor’s Princess | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lynah Rink | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Tina | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lovely Charlie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Orleans Spice | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Overthegardengate | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | La Mistake | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Half a Million | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Gibbs | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Zip ‘n Sip | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzdelight | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Promete | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spinning Pegasus | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Christopher Cat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Personal Double | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Song N a Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ebony Nights | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Genesis Marie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lil China | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christeana’s Kiss | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somethingroyal P | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothoutthetrack | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai’s Prize | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liz’s Legend | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Labelhermypal | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doxontherox | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.