December 27, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Lefthoofrightleft | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Zyanara | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toomuch | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blessed Song | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avery Lynn | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Presli’s Argument | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thegoodwitch | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Darby Says See Ya | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cookin | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Little Tator Tot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Pal Em | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zarla | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tax Money | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watch My Steam | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karslyn | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harlans Warrior | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peach Baby | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosecoloredglasses | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Bayou | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Andy’s Legacy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Monie’s Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cracker Jackson | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Rodeo | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mauk Power | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alys Appointment | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Puddin’s the Man | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maestro Del Prado | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Savannah Dandy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonecrushervincent | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Geaux Easy | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arctic Tribe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | E Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cat Sup | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Beat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Masster Chief Ron | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz America | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Intimidator | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Culp’s Hill | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ricky | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Five Small | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A Band Apart | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Coach Johnny | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Halos Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cadillac Magic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Camille’s Court | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thisaintnoalleycat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mizzen Colony | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Byars Melodie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zarelda | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayouland Star | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Queen Bindala | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Inferno | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Kenai Star | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classic Greeley | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clip Joint | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Em C | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forestdungone | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Huffs Untouchable | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Double Clutchin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | D’freak Nasty | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Patriot | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jamminformel | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizzy’s Song | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noralee | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Song for Sarah | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heart of Soul | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blowin Smoke | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Late Nite Mischief | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dedicated | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nomo Ron | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Harve | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Banjo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maga Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nate’s Attack | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Anne | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sparkling Red Jet | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stumberg | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sawyers Gray Girl | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. McGillicuddy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palmettovowmenot | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excitable Girl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Truly the One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain Amante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dream Nation | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overlyappealing | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Callmechamp | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Dad Louie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Ander | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hudson’s Hunt | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chris’ Redding | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cratus | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cape Lucas | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.