December 29, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Confederate Yell | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dorcheat Zarb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Landing Man | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ida’s Warrior | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andy Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halos Prayer | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ellerbe | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Hero | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wildsummersfun | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alexander | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gueydan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Red Again | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Count N Gold | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Uncle Pancho | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cook | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | My Expectations | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Gig | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Beat Goes On | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Gridiron Cat | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Judge Dixon | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whistling Ranger | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fort Polk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Meister Missy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | This Is My Prayer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sucre | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shameful Gal | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guest Appearance | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mia O Maya | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | No Big Ting | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Fine Pinot | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lakendereya | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chief Knockaway | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Catfeinated | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | E Lee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Super Jet | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inspire Courage | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Valiant City | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ty’s Agenda | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trident Hero | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Pride | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stick | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Handsome Jack | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bee Jay Gee | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Striking Femme | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Begue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kilasa | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blakes Happiness | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Kylie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queezee Proud | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full Fleet | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosada’s Rose | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Arwen | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promise Tender | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seaside Surprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Promissory Note | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Creed | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Flattering | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernadettes Vision | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kiwi Cat | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Irish Rose | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond Thief | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D D’s Delight | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Secret House | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Secret Passage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Line Judge | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Tough | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Ruler | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellarmine | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plot Twist | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mischievous Bull | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – B-connected S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Luwegee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Mischief | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge N Ruler | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Much Class | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Andy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Final Argument | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Stormin | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Wined Up | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Into N Out Of | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Ron | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valen Forever | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leavethetip | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Wins | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Forty Two | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Matou | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forum Form | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zarking | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fooling Jay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Max Our Man | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Potomac Two Step | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angle’s Angel | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Man | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emma’s Logic | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Amante | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Church of England | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Puma Rocket | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sovol | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waitnon Bob | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.