January 4, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shallow River | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Thousand Reasons | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Daze | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Beautiful Bev | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Katie’s Bayou | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Battle Angel | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Beach Bling | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Houston Strong | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Best Kept Secret | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Whipum Naenae | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cuddle Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Sioux | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alittlecomplicated | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’screative | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arch Arch Baby | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bold Rey | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s World | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Touch Me | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | See What’s What | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Our Story | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Davos | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’sagoodtime | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crider City | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speedpoint | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All in Bronson | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Guilt Trip | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Departed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Insubordination | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Shining Star | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delicious | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berko | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gus’s Tizzy | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blended Lute | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roaring Star Fire | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying South | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Go Boss | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold Me Kat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brazoswildcat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | King Bayou | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conniejoe | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richards Dream | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fats | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Toddy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swinging Galaxy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet Again | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torrid Zone | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | College Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charlies Ticket | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catfeinated | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thiscatsatalkin | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Share | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chat Rat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yonadixie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | K Kiddo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | On Cycle | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Elephante M | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Looking for Bull | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Bode | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ella’s Actor | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Current | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rahfees Man | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disapproval | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monsieur Brown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oxford Comma | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Craft | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fairwayngreen | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Our Fastest | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlons Commision | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Level | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mauk’s Tuff | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giagiajoe | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Take Charge Brandi S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taylor’s Spirit | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Varlebena | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Wish | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merada | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Know What I Mina | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cover Charge | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princesse Rafaela | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lons Finnish | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ch Bern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paynt Battle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Our Indy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whiskey Storm | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister Intuition | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold the Mic | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sournois | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Giant | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brian’s Spirit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caesar Point | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cape Town Willy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.