January 25, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Dude | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Robert’s Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mr Cruze | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McKlintok | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calmack | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bandit for Time | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lass Song | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Charge Easy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arroyo Blanco | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lougarou | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Help Is On the Way | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbraided | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Treaty | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Proper Decorum | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Salute | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nate’s Attack | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Major Brown | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Star Banjo | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Judge Dixon | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ahoymycaptain | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Da Due Run Run | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sunshine Deelite | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bama Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Louisa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dial Em In | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Leda | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So Serious | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sister Annette | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hanging Lake | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Takilla Shotz | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Bling | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beat Goes On | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Maurice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Rocketringo | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fancy This | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King’s Share | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charlie Ballado | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devil’s Pay | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dry Wood Creek | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yonadixie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pre Heat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yohearme | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Flush King | 1.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Heath | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Warrior | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Song | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Pledge | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brazoswildcat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Torrid Zone | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shot On Windy Hill | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oso Ready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Halfflatt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dion | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Drowningndiamonds | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Doctor | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Biblical Strength | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmett’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormation | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Class Won | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kenai Star | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hoops Cigar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Mr Money Bags | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wakefield | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goldenpence | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drew’s Shot | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B W P Express | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Voo Doo Doc | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foolish Steve | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flying Honeypot | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zanesville | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Much Class | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Halo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Luwegee | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temprano | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Joey Why | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Kid | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sobriquiet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Inagent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Landing Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Porto | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Inferno | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Hero | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Huntur | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Prospector | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Personal Conflict | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halos Prayer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brodys Lil Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Running Unbridled | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thisaintnoalleycat | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Sensation | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenkaye | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Slippers | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Rippinlips | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Runaway | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Keelies Tea Party | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Te Na Na | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kohensrising | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risen Cork | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.