January 30, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stylist | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fantasy Frills | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Selene’s Argument | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlans Warrior | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamadancesinthesky | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosecoloredglasses | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agirlnamedsyd | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frenzy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil China | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excitable Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outoftheballpark | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elody | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Big Money | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Sunday Mass | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thegrayspider | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She Sang Dixie | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncomplicated | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half Heroine | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ethel Eileen | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple City Darlin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mabelee | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Da Due Run Run | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Binds Fair Lass | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sanctified Lady | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Bev | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | And She Scores | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Byanymeans | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fasten | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipadee Due Da | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indian Gem | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly and Kind | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kilasa | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indygo Rocket | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | April Mae | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Lucky Penny | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emma’s Gift | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indulgences | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donna’s Court | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cachito | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarvelio | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Michael | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Racer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Debriyn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Campus Leader | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Haynesfest | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How Sweet It Is | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just You Wait | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Impulse | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper Bee | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out Late | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Honduras | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Christeana’s Kiss | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Cissy | 1.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Yours and Mine | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Honest Woman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Are the Best | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Becca’s Whisper | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Red Princess | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Thirsty | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Spiced Up | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Prophet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Proud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Hunter’s Humor | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kapenta | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Core Portfolio | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Drewsizzle | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Left Coast Dreams | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heir of Storm | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Trident Hero | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lukes Bad Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Expectations | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelcorcee | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Johnny | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Red Cat | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Ricky | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Storm | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayhaw Jelly | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Box | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutalize | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Memory Taker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Beauxart | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Texas Vagabond | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | When I Do | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eldon’s Jet | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | V Cross Gripper | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.