January 31, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Velleity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drena’s Best | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Keeping | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Ours | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Genesis Marie | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady King | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azuralee | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U Thought U Got Me | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witty Cry | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cougar Country | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Appeal | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Medal of Courage | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Home | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Coulee | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calimor | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biermann | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewtempo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nomorequestions | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galiamo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six Grand | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joemo | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Some of Merit | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kubo Cat | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scissor Bill | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Ide Stang You | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 9 | Miss Sid N Say | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Castle Zip | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Reina Isabel | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Down Britt | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Loretta | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Selma T | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Facets of Ice | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queezee Proud | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jaded Rose | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forestry’s Buddy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Monsieur Brown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Debdurite | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Nearis | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Handsome Harve | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rahfees Man | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boots and Saddle | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Geaux Easy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pacific Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Roaring Star Fire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Sweet One | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Gus’s Tizzy | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zens Secret | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Old Pep N Step | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Supersonicsong | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Pal Kay | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ipidate | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Respect Due | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Courtney’s Beau | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Cook | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grand Hoga | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speightstime | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benny Colors | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Key | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mack’s Champ | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gary | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ride a Saint | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beat Goes On | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A P’s Winner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Late Nite Mischief | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Boehrer | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Insubordination | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dry Levee | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | County Coroner | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beta Lake | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Polk | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runpeggyrun | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Island Blue | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All in Bronson | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ticketformichelle | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overly Sweet | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | See What’s What | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easton Empress | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feisty Annette | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Joy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleeta Belle | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anthony’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiles Legacy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinky Kim | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Sassy’s Back | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance for Joy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.