February 2, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tizzy’s Song |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Splashdown |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jamminformel |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mitch’s Pins |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Our Story |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bandit’s Deelite |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aloha Kai |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prime Patriot |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heart of Soul |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Dude |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Successful Shot |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yankee Express |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Em C |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Zephyr |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Run Peck Run |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cajun Cash |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Justice |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Courtney’s Gift |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Village |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Conner Clark |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Asap |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saint Dansant |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
War Dude |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Savannah Dandy |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
They’ll Seeintime |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Relentless Attack |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sovol |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Overknight |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Inspire Courage |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Crush |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
I’m Formidable |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s a Lady Tamer |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arkansas Martini |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blue Forty Two |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chief Knockaway |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Catlab |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Commission |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Leavethetip |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hewhofillsmyheart |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bitsy’s Carlos |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Gibbs |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Song N a Cat |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roundabout Robbie |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gentlemengentlemen |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Patriot Father |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spinning Pegasus |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lanies Choice |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Players Gonna Play |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sparky Top |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Realmente Calmada |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fine N On Time |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Regal Heiress |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lucky for Us |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diamond Thief |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lady Quality |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
She’sgotthebeat |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Theboyzblues |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Show’em the Heat |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
She’s Got Moxy |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Val’s Pal |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Striscetta |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rilla |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blessed Song |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Celtic Lass |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wildnd’moonlight |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wait N C Spring |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Purely Blessed |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ultra Arumba (BRZ) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mary B Good |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wise Journey |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
A Thousand Reasons |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lons Finnish |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ta |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheeper to Keeper |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Distinct Flirt |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Diamondback |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flat Out Flirty |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz the Faith |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Judge N Ruler |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Hook |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Who Datawaki |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Madiba |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Shaboxxo |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Salute the C |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Actif One |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Aaron’s Bluff |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Ranger Connection |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Miss Billie K |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Silver Dove |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Toga Dance |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Last Destiny |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
You Have a Point |
1.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ms Tashua |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swift Lisa |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honest Smile |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Giant Collin |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dr. Frankie Kaye |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Racin Christina |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.