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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 16, 2019

February 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Quiet Prince 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Uncle Nearis 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Toast to Michael 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Its a City Day 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Binder 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Genuide 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Liam Skye 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Sarvelio 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Courtney’s Beau 12.00 7.1 14-1
8 8 They’ll Seeintime 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Mr. Boss Jack 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Half a Million 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Party Tarde 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fee Fi Fo Fo 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Run to Glory 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Zarla 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Glitz N Glam 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Hunky Dory 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Too Bad Chu 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Toocan Dance 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Guilty Maverick 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Speedactus 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Gobler 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Heart Warrior 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Scrimmage 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Up to Nothing Good 5.00 5 9-1
7 6 Ville Platte 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Perfect Trip 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Stihl Harbor 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Salute the C 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Madelyn’s Wild Max 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mayor Mac 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Inspire Courage 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Il Est Vite 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 I’m Formidable 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Dry Wood Creek 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Just Run Skiny Run 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Lip Service 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Coach Johnny 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Hewhofillsmyheart 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Geoscience 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tapizars Secret 1.80 1.9 4-1
2 2 Fetchum Ketchum 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Conniejoe 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Contraband 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Broke in a Flash 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Honos Man 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Gone Wishin 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Tiz a Secret 15.00 7.1 14-1
5 5 St Basil 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rosecoloredglasses 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 She’sgotthebeat 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Chief Inca 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 9 Lucky for Us 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Wise Woman 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Fine N On Time 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Show’em the Heat 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Regal Heiress 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Theboyzblues 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Striscetta 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elkhorn Poet 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Freedom Factor 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Texican 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Blue Warrior 3.50 4 8-1
9 9 Handsome Harve 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Gus’s Tizzy 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Reddy to Bet 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Overnight Stay 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Jill’s Smooth Air 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Faith Healer 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Just Grace 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Beautiful Honduras 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Varlebena 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 4 Dev Mo 4.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Zarelda 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Splashdown 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Alpha Sue 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Girl Thirsty 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Out Late 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Wakeway Dancer 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Mitch’s Pins 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Handsome Girl 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cry Like a Baby 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Da Due Run Run 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fleeta Belle 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Millie Bee 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gal 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Miss Annie 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Charmville 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 I Call 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hand Me the Cash 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Monarchos Prayer 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Honey Hearts 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Inalyze 3.00 4 8-1
10 10 Queen of Gypsies 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 L. A. Ready 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sweet Silver 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Cat’s Hit 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Gabby’s Freedom 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Angelic Kriss 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Indian Bayou 30.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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