February 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Quiet Prince |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Nearis |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toast to Michael |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Its a City Day |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Binder |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Genuide |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liam Skye |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sarvelio |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Courtney’s Beau |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
They’ll Seeintime |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Boss Jack |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Half a Million |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Party Tarde |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fee Fi Fo Fo |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run to Glory |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zarla |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glitz N Glam |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hunky Dory |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Too Bad Chu |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Toocan Dance |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Guilty Maverick |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speedactus |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gobler |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Heart Warrior |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Scrimmage |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Up to Nothing Good |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ville Platte |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Trip |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Stihl Harbor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Salute the C |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Madelyn’s Wild Max |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mayor Mac |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Inspire Courage |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Il Est Vite |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’m Formidable |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dry Wood Creek |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just Run Skiny Run |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lip Service |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Coach Johnny |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hewhofillsmyheart |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Geoscience |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tapizars Secret |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fetchum Ketchum |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Conniejoe |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Contraband |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broke in a Flash |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honos Man |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gone Wishin |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz a Secret |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
St Basil |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rosecoloredglasses |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
She’sgotthebeat |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chief Inca |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lucky for Us |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wise Woman |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fine N On Time |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Show’em the Heat |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Regal Heiress |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Theboyzblues |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Striscetta |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Elkhorn Poet |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Factor |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Texican |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Warrior |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Handsome Harve |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gus’s Tizzy |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reddy to Bet |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Overnight Stay |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jill’s Smooth Air |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Faith Healer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Just Grace |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Beautiful Honduras |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Varlebena |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dev Mo |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zarelda |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Splashdown |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Alpha Sue |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Girl Thirsty |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Out Late |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wakeway Dancer |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mitch’s Pins |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Handsome Girl |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cry Like a Baby |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Da Due Run Run |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fleeta Belle |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Millie Bee |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gal |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Annie |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charmville |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
I Call |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hand Me the Cash |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Monarchos Prayer |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honey Hearts |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Inalyze |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Queen of Gypsies |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
L. A. Ready |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Silver |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cat’s Hit |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Angelic Kriss |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indian Bayou |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.