February 17, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vander Kelen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blitzkrieg | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Chila | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cats Blame | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chill | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Honor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swiss Minister | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chosen Vessel | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Falcone | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kendra | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sturdy One | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Flatterme | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Krishna | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinnamon Twist | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shut It Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Angel Alessandra | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Dance | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gallovie (GB) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lucy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nice Work | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owning | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oracle of Omaha | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Belong to Becky | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its Five Somewhere | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome John | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Silver Summer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quad | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Anatolian Heat | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incensed | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Karma | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Cat | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule He Will | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. Reno | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Billy the Hott | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Rogue | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bean | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He Be Mojo Risin | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John’s Intuition | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Challenge | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Sniper | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Translucent | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Parker | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Count Alexander | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Souter (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Move Over (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maestro Dearte | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kazan (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pincheck (IRE) | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morse Code | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risky Proposition | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accountability | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lazzam (GB) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Valor | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artie B Good | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Defense Minister | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bartlett Hall | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitter Ring Home | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Normandy Beach | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Causeididitmyway | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Magic | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paul’s Diva | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pastorelli | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skagit River | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santa Fe Blaze | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casual Reply | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rinse and Repeat | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foray | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune of War (GB) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Rebel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Admiral | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | According to Buddy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.