February 18, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Little Magician S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Montclair (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Point Exactly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dexter Road | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Code | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Porter Street | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uno Emayo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nigel’s Destiny | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Could Be | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Lady Bird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misschief Maas | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Reina | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viva Forever | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magalie | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amaluna | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oro Bird | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Rough And Ready S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | To Dare | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uno Mas Modelo | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guns of Steel | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salsa’s Return | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donji | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Long Chuck | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quenane | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Trust Buster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whyruawesome | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singanothersong | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Griff | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnifier | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Growth | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harryhee | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Mary Todd S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Lemon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Na Pali Spirit | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Long | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezaprado | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nikki’s Cause | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberale (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arabella Bella | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heading Home | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Rail Splitter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Outlaw | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Dancer | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Focus On Me | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunka Burning Love | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dupree | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Heart | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Chinumado | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Mrs. Presidentress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sister Peacock | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsmyluckycharm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isadorable Aida | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yako | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Watch | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free to Fly | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mariu | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jeanieonthebeach | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distinctly Blue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Point | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oblio’s Wish | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sand Drift | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Queen Mother S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midtown Rose | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hill Valley | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Miracle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoken Deb | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Mystery | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Lee and Me | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Award | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caroline Lois | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dana Grace | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Marcela | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Beach | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Sage Of Monticello S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | First and Three | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quick Connect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Max K. O. | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fine Tune | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Baffin Bay | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quasar Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vow Me Now | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tangible | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Nairobi | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bad to the Core (FR) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Majestic Luna | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Doctor D J | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homedrill | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soldat War | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Old Hickory S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Bachelor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Transistor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Rich Daddy | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jay’s Way | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Zulu | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Beau | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Millionaire Runner | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Stakes) – Old Man Eloquent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Your Only Man | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second Mate | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Accurate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aquaphobia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Dakota | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dubby Dubbie | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salute the Colonel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basha | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Citizen | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Belgrano | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Whisky N Roses | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Jaguar | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amnesty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Fog | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Mike | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Stonehenge | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lahinch | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fine Spirit | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Youshouldbesolucky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All in Charge | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shahkaar | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.