February 28, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | She’sgotthebeat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | And She Scores | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Double Down Britt | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Song | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Selma T | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Facets of Ice | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ide Stang You | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Sid N Say | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Fern Doll | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Yankee | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queezee Proud | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Come On Nancy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rifle Man | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noisey Boy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatdatpay Ray | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exton | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Needs a Check | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drewsizzle | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Colliery | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zacksgotthis | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Production | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Untuttable Speed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ballerina Boogie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Footsie’s Argument | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fort Polk | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncomplicated | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Zarby | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Tizzy Trick | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ethel Eileen | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Temple City Darlin | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Suede Ransom | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Departed | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kozy’s Prayer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Guts No Glory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Do Guess Again | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Grand Hoga | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Core Portfolio | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Buddy Chuck | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colonial Power | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Q’ Mark | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansas Martini | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ride a Saint | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salute the C | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Poppa Go | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Whiskey Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Hidden Data | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Paynt Battle | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 1 | When I Do | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scrimmage | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dad Said No | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Morning Surprise | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thunder Box | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Caesar Point | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bailey’s Power | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Redtotherescue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bernadettes Vision | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sha Blush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cheryl’s Copy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ensign | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Shot | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Bloom | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee’s Fanny | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Thief | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Gianna | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound of the Tap | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Philly | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyzdelight | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roundabout Robbie | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Independent Worker | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pierpont | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Gibbs | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lucy’s Revenge | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indian Gem | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lefthoofrightleft | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Zyanara | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Socks | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver’s Swan Song | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenpins Tempo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Custom Vision | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat Me Down | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halfourretirement | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Step to the Bar | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caeus in Pasadena | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Etney John | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Priority | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No More for U | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Brown’s Monkey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Truly the One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clever Racer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donna’s Court | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kool Yankee | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Addaichi | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cachito | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Song | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Chatain | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Gabe | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Zippy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinchout | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.