March 1, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Akulina | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Katie’s Bayou | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sherry Babe | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zugersee | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fiery Flash | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Maybe I Can | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ace Queen | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twilight Cat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Always Grace | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cherrylicious | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Azalea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Front Money Morgan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miss Bitters | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fortune Got Even | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Madeforlife | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crescentcitypretty | 1.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blowing Bayou | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Anabelle | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Man Unk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Little Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kosmo Sopo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Today Alfie | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blaising Guitar | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Jac | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s an Honest Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hezanothercorredor | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Run | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luke the Drifter | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | U Never Know | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Uncle Bird | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cook | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gridiron Cat | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hawks Peak | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Prince | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Personal Conflict | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Andy Man | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Il Est Vite | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Invasors Wind | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huffs Untouchable | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandana Heat | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Youve Got a Friend | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlie’s Affair | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Set Hut | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Exigent | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Rapidash | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masculino | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Picadilly Roadster | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G. A. Betting | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mundo Mutadda | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Appeal | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tooth | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Turn Up the Lights | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sanctified Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daisy Can | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Willow | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sucre | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Net a Bear | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitch’s Pins | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Distinct Flirt | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’freak Nasty | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splashdown | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Drena’s Best | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Becca’s Whisper | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shook | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carencro Special | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outoftheballpark | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wakeway Dancer | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Out Late | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kim’s Wilcat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sparkling Red Jet | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bermuda Bridge | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | D D’s Delight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Big Money | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thegrayspider | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Active Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uknowiaintlying | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Creed | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Byanymeans | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hiclass Production | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girls Are the Best | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shop Around Sue | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gladee’s Gray Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Scat At Ms. Pat’s | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cohenscollegefund | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheeper to Keeper | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fine Point | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizzy’s Song | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bandit’s Deelite | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rock City Deva | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Half Time Allie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | You Have a Point | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Orchid | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U Thought U Got Me | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Girl | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Song | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swift Lisa | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salesgirl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Baby | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Bottom Blues | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Dove | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.