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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2019

March 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Great Time 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Heaven’s Humor 12.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Sly Beauty 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 4 Factorofwon 1.40 1.7 3-1
4 2 Really Proud 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 3 Snack Shack 8.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Temple 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bally Squall 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Allez Allez 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Run Gal Run 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Monja 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Azarch 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Magna Paciencia 15.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Bit of Both 0.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Caspian Jewel 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Creedibility 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Farfalla 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jazzy Beach 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Miss Marcela 6.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Judith Can 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Corn Off the Cob 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Distinctly Blue 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 For Reef’s Sake 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Alpilles 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 On With God 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Blue Sky Venezuela 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Bargainaire 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 C. A. C. Chaquira 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eastern Princess 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Tell Me Maux 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Madelyn’s Dancer 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Andrea’s Pride 1.60 2.7 5-1
8 8 Entrez Encore 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Enduros Tigress 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Unscattered 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Anjali 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Damaska 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quenlenny 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Courage and Honor 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Curlin’s Knight 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Alpha Orionis 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Captain Bober 30.00 2.4 4-1
8 7 Something Bird 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Sky Point 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Nightstrings 12.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tiznoble 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Dexter Road 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Flowmotion 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Driven by Thunder 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Griff 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Face of Victory 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Son of Oahu 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Billy Big (IRE) 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Bugle Barry 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Wingman 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nautia 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Treatherlikestar 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Starship Reina 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Song of Melody 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Body High 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Silly Factor 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Threat 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dancing Noelle 50.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Super Witch 20.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mr. Jordan 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mr Freeze 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Real Story 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ticonderoga 1.40 1.9 4-1
3 3 Sand Dancer 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Renaisance Frolic 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 International Star 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Murad Khan (FR) 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Speed Franco 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Awesome Saturday 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Dragon Bay 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eric the Salesman 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Second Guess 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Cappy Hour 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Restart 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Maturin 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Noon Time Gem 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 The Kid in Syd 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Bee Keeper 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Knowledge 30.00 3.9 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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