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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 22, 2019

March 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spartiatis 1.20 SCRATCH
4 3 Malibu Action 1.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 Scarf It Down 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Nolinski 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Stretch’s Stone 3.50 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pickle Rick 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 Impunity 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Bye Bye Man 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mount Olympus 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bronxville 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Bumperdoo 20.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa Shot 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 O Shea Can U See 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Ironclad 0.80 1.7 3-1
2 1 Poshsky 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Incubator 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Shamcat 20.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forbidden Frolic 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Free Coffee 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Sarah’s Rainbow 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 It’s a Shaw Thing 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 2 Xanthique 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 5 Miss You Blues 3.50 2 4-1
4 3 Big Bennys Tribute 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 4 Bizness Beauty 12.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Special Story 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Eagle Pass 1.20 1.6 3-1
3 3 Starship Zeus 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Dooley 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Call Me 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Admiral Blue 8.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Too Many Tales 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Delta Gamma 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Cholmondeley 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Annette’s Humor 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Topline 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Homemade 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Barbara P 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Canarsie Princess 10.00 3.4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Great Going 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bourbon N Rye 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Thunder’s Honor 1.20 1.7 3-1
1 1 Cross Multiply 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Quest for Fire 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Our American Star 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Da Meister 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bluegrass Jamboree 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 D J’s Favorite 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Palladian Bridge 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Pauseforthecause 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Luz Mimi 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Assail 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Annie Rocks 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Short Kakes 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dublinornothin 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Harley Q 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Behind the Couch 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Rumor Driven 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 5 Lady Macho 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Wailin Josie 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Two Graces 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Cash Offer 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 7 Linda’s Ballet 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Nine From Two 15.00 3.9 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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