April 5, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sapori Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Etching | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seaside Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boldest Vow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roses and Candy | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Respect | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Pleasure | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daybreak (GB) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Breezy Bee | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Smores | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Meso | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hilltop Harmony | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bev’s Humor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Stepper | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Concur | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Kidmon | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Hollywood | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bless His Heart | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfside Sunset | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Daddys Real Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Stylin Ocean | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sidepocket Charger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Channel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Miss Ricochet | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Into Rissa | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Our Romance | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Whoa Nessie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Style Award | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Princess Pearl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sidecheering | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | La La Land | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Successful Ruler | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Rum Cake | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ack | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Palladium | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dyf | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lead Star | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockandahardplace | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nations Hope | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Journal Entry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Decorating | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Island | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Curlin’s Journey | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunny Dale | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Out of Balance | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Surface | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coldwater | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mercy Mercy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kittyhawk Lass | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Paige Runner | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Duranga | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Diva | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmy and I | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gia Lula | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ciao Luna | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dannie Joe | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bump Bailey | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Manhattan Up | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Nice Work | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Savagery | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonoverthebayou | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Alfareed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Many Treats | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | East Rand | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Kat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Magico | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foray | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vangilder | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Push Through | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Bowl | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Rebel | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | June Two Four | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.