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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 10, 2019

April 10, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Senorita Guzman 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Merchants of Cool 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 1 Johnny Unleashed 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Champagne Affair 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Fed Xman 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Baytown Vi Vi 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Alec and Arthur 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Karaoke Night 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Raison Martini 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Moti 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Wellfield 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Market Garden 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Coworker 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Direct Approach 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Grassetto 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sir Yarnallton 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In Charge Annie 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Retro Street 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Caroline Lois 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Alizee 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Tula 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 4 Stefanie On Fleek 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 5 Cash for Cass 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Houston Strong 15.00 3 6-1
11 8 Catsoutofthebag 10.00 3 6-1
10 7 Ginny B 12.00 3 6-1
9 6 Cimarron 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 In the Moment 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Hannah 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Marie’s Mandate 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Duches of Grace 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Marina View 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Tale of La Comete 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Marriage 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 My Midnight Affair 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Banana Union 8.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bond Street (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Keep Quiet (FR) 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Another 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Magic Tapit 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Nobrag Justfact 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Cuestion de Tiempo 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Cullum Road 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Musical America 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Capture the Glory 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nottoway 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Day Dreamer 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Hallie’s Hero 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Here’s Carlos 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Big Iron 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Infinite Midnight 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Trappezoid 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Finished 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Stayonthegrind 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cartabianca (FR) 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 In the Lee 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 She’s Pretty Lucky 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Bonnie Arch 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Valentine Wish 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Dynatail 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Contributing 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fizzy Friday (GB) 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 In the Mood 30.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unbridled Outlaw 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Big Bella Brown 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shadow Tracer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fifth Title 5.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Parade Blue 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 4 Mandel 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 5 Griff 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Jova 20.00 3 6-1
9 6 Buggy Brown 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 7 Rapa Iti 30.00 3.3 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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