April 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yes Its Factual | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mambo Dancer | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reconsider It | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Tap | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rate of Return | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barb’s Gray Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allez Allez | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Better Vibes | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaufy Futures | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Be a Hero | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Northern | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pachanga Party | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scotuscare | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | French Accent | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Particularity | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jacks a Warrior | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Girl Gone Astray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Eye’s Reward | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Isle | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixieland Humor | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Rose | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlotte the Brit | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pianoforte | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Daddio | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Luvy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Anabella Queen | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oscura | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What a Beaut | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bienville Street | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herecitykitty | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cautious Giant | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Out | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Quarter | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Florida Cotton | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Power | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barry Karafin Bets | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Dude | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Bygollymissdolly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Passing Moments | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Judith Can | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Play That Tone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Heidi Ho | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gran Letizia | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drama Free | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rosedale | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alpilles | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | For Reef’s Sake | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kau | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Deer Island Diva | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pikes Peak Or Bust | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C. A. C. Chaquira | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Catherines Warrior | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cocktails Or Candy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Switcharoo | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Nikee Kan | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bev’s Strength | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foggy Flight | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Park | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sarasota Star | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapido Gatta | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Enough | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gilded Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Apreciado | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Marco Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Andronikos | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Affluential | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Dont | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Areyoutalkingtome | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Decision | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sum Overture | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paynter’s Boy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief White Sox | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tide of the Desert | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Piloting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Unlockthepotential | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Kitten | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Squadron | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Commissioner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apartfromthecrowd | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timmy M. | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Fog | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winking At Thedude | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Nifty | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Jordan | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | You’re to Blame | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jay’s Way | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salsa’s Return | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Drama | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of a Jedi | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Bankable | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Crescent | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Violent Trick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Charmaine’s Mia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tailadios | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Itsmyluckycharm | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Till Dawn | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zabava | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Isadorable Aida | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yako | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Distinctly Blue | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Drift | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Adamant | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Britesideoftheroad | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Go Baby | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Box of Gold | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Raki | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.