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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 19, 2019

April 19, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turner Time 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Brerry 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Swamp Ruler 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Just Be Frank 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Improviser 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Vedelago (IRE) 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Frogman Mel 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 City Gold 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rooney 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cap de Creus 1.80 1.1 2-1
2A 2 Pretty At War 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Gorgeous in Rags 4.00 2.4 5-1
3A 3 Temperit 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Lady Hester 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Sally’s Curlin 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Daring 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Actress On Board 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Kimberly Frances 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Into the South 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Royal Charlotte 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Bingwa 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Vinca 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lady Lucy 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Into Mystic 4.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Sweetest Appeal 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Captain Livi 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dynamite Daughters 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Have No Fear 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Naughty Factor 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Out Till Dawn 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Don’t Tell Lydia 3.50 2.6 5-1
12 11 Lorette 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Northern Heart 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 C C My Sis 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Rhoda’s Jewell 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Orleans 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Blank Canvas 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Gold Zephyr 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Spun Line 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Tryingtolookpretty 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Club Car 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Hoppa 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Sinwaan 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Pastoral 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Rumandice 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Jasminum 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Better Biz 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 She’s Hot Today 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Old and Costly 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 What’sontheagenda 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Malraux 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Totally Boss 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Johnny Obvious 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Blackout (FR) 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Fast Boat 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Lawton 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Keros 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dragon Drew 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tommytom 15.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 El Tormenta 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guarana 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Miss Moneypenny 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Folk Legend 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 More 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tiz What It Tiz 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Boca Bloom 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Altar of Speed 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Templuna 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Private Message 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Twelve Monarchs 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Coachwhip 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cheeky Cherub 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sassy Little Lila 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Munchkin Money 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Strawberry Tequila 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Limari 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 4 She’s All Skeet 20.00 3 6-1
2 1 Ladies Night 20.00 3 6-1
8 6 Amandine (GB) 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 7 Jehozacat 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Miss O’Hara 30.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 Lunar Garden 12.00 3.4 7-1
7 5 Youngest Daughter 30.00 3.5 7-1
12 10 Zonza (FR) 3.50 3.5 7-1
13 11 English Dancer 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 9 Missap 50.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hilliard Lyons-baird Doubledogdare S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Force (GER) 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Blue Prize (ARG) 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Eqho 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Jala Jala (MEX) 6.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Electric Forest 4.00 1.3 3-1
4 2 Promise of Spring 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 3 Moonlit Garden 12.00 2 4-1
8 5 Golden Award 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 4 Go Google Yourself 10.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scattered Strikes 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Galindo 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Joe Benjamin 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Methodical 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Play the Kid 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 The Last Zip 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Job Security 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 The Rock Says 5.00 3 6-1
11 10 Red Sorrell 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vineyard Sound 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Stage Ready 30.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nepal Up 20.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 15.00 4 8-1
9 8 Cannonstone 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Lookin High 30.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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