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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 20, 2019

April 20, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dreamer’s Moon 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Don Vito’s Kitty 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tiz a Tribute 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Our Claire Bear 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Family Fortune 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Flagged 50.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Start Notizing 20.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Doublethestyle 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ask Chuck 1.60 SCRATCH
2 1 R Jolley Dreamer 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 6 Algorix 2.50 2 4-1
3 2 Trilogy 12.00 2 4-1
9 7 Collin’s Smile 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Ok Now 30.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Prodigious 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Averyon 30.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malandrina 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Rio Vista 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Misses Knight 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Iwishirish 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Special Risk 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rove 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lagrats 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mrs. Rembrandt 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cornet 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Five More Minutes 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Pellagrino 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Flat Out Flashy 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Peter G. Fox 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Sunshine Crusader 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Dubrovsky 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 My Danzig Partner 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vow’s Son 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Dead Broke 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Harlan’s Dynamo 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Six Blade 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Eastern Front 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Loco Lobo 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lori’s Folly 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sambook 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Family Crest 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 I’ll Wrap It Up 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Creaky Cricket 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Got It 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 The Pooch 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Salt It Here 1.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 One Eyed Ray 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Estrickator 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Arctic Schiller 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kelli’s Smile 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Splicethemainbrace 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 American Talent 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Our Philly Special 3.50 2 4-1
7 6 Word On a Wing 1.60 2.4 4-1
1 1 Cape May Ferry 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Arch Contender 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Smart and Tough 15.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rosie’s Notion 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Celesse 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Captain Sam 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Wildcat Combat 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 7 Flattering Ruby 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Peach Alley 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cognac Cutie 30.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Whitney Cove 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Isabella Swift 30.00 3.1 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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