April 27, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cotton To | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Travy Boy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kokomo Wildcat | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Roberta | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dr Harlan | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ebrio | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liberale (FR) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cocktail Skirt | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giovanna Ponti | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Closure | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Masterpiece | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Necessary | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | S S Illuminati | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Change | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gia Lia Joe | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrivederla | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gyoza | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For the Gipper | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Danny Bear | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Kelly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lamech | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tropicat | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Tie Affair | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Order | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Seven | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beneficiary | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Heat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Immunity | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abbot | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barbarossa | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Dancer | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cryogenic | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escarapela | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karen’s Cove | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Overdogs | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scam | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Dinero | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Frank C | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Cares | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Express Jet | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Warrior | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Composition | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ranger’s Coming | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jegos Fire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Silver Beach | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alien Invasion | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Source Control | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Play | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brag Dude | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leroi’s Gem | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spinos | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soupery Dupery | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Kingo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nation U S A | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Yolanda | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rising Storm | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T’s Southern Dude | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartrulinghead | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Duke | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Trinni Alex | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamy Street | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Molokai Night | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Second Mate | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Siding Spring | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swagger Jagger | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Up the Ante | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holiday Stone | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Driven by Thunder | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speed Franco | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Sky | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bondetti | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vinnie Van Go | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chase Runner | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tactical Quality | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Golden | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Wine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Mighty Judge | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malio’s | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Powder Break S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikki’s Cause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Hogans Holiday | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Crown and Sugar | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quebec | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fools Gold | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bitacora | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Susie Bee | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Too Charming | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Supercommittee | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Soiree | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flossie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malkia | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outside Lookin In | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Savvy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alperes | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Leonardo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knowledge | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makinalegacy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Deep | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jost Do It | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wall of Stone | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sommer Legacy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Commander Fish | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Kid | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.