April 28, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nikki’s Cause | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Cuaima | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trilby | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arabella Bella | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frozen Hannah | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Right Again | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Blondie Run | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Wind | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fergielicious | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stellamattutina | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Tuesday’s Rose | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Witch | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dancing Noelle | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diva’s Revenge | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Eila | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | R Next Roll | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magic Two | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All About Stella | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Bolt | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cory Gal | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Purple Girl | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Only in August | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pianoforte | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backcat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Goals | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Diva | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swagger | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Cardinal | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Bands | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Gone Gray | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Connect | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gnarly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honolulu Express | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Giant | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yansa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yes Its Factual | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Queen Soldat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Myfrancesca | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sebastiana | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Alexandras Joy | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gone Skiing | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaufy Futures | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allez Allez | 30.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Always Lucky | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Damaska | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drama in the Rain | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J P’s Rose | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Catch Lexi | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Tango | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Augusta Moon | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mardi Gras | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trieste (BRZ) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shessuchaknockout | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Fiorella | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Tormenta | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Secret O’Life | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Return the Favor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | High Candy | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Heidi Ho | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gina’s Honey | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Truly Courageous | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Passing Moments | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feature Creature | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Glory Roll | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Maker | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bygollymissdolly | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shall Return | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Judith Can | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Neck | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irish Letters | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Prosperity Mo | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interlaken | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soldat War | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Q | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Juice | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Marco Drive | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Fager | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montclair (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Exchanger | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Oahu | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dexter Road | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just the Facts | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Emayo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Quick Step Ed | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Castillete | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Blacktop Legend | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Agenda | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Burly Boy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Undaunted | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Machiavelli | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heart of a Dreamer | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | South Pointe Drive | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Itsmyluckysummer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Noble Lion | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smirkotch | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.