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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2019

May 4, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sutton Impact 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Family Code 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Big Guy Ian 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Chip Van Winkle 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Joan’s Delight 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sladens Dream 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Redneck Attack 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Long Station 6.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Get That Box 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Joey B 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tonedaddy 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Holiday Mischief 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Cool Catomine 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bold Chrome 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 After Hours 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 8 Stan’s Old Habits 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Justin Zee 20.00 3.7 7-1
12 10 Storminside 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Vacanza 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 9 Bango Box 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Overanalyzfakenews 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Collection 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ramblingrudyrags 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Denali Cherokee 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Samurai Mike 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 R H Smoakem 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 All for Truth 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Purrfectpersuasion 20.00 2 4-1
5 4 I’m River 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 5 Data Gold 15.00 2.6 5-1
10 7 Shoe Money 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 6 Forestry’s Buddy 20.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Dixie Lover 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Burtnjoe 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Officer Griggs 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Detroit Cowboy 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Munyak 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Oh So Tall 8.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Daddy’s Gone 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Got Mojo 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Mostly Sunny 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Light Bound Bid 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Iza Innocent 20.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Silverado Road 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Comic Bird 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Haus 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Presley 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Holiday Time 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Annie and Caroline 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Lemon Chill 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Fox Alert 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Complex Analysis 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 The Emerald Queen 30.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Unsweet Tea 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Flatter My Heart 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Savedbestforlast 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ms Fifty First St. 30.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Easter Indy 30.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Eqho 3.50 1.6 3-1
1A 7 Whispering Speaker 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 6 Served Cold 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 2 Girl Power 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Clever Serve 1.80 3.1 6-1
7 5 Summer’s Indy 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Christmas Sky 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Glamorized 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mostly Awesome 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Incorrigible 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Malibu Mo 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Flat Out Beautiful 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 My Legacy 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Copper King 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Zoomer 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Staccato 30.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Twobirdsonestone 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Honoring Major 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Calle Patron 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Just a Coinkydink 30.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Glacken’s Ghost 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 K J’s Nobility 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Tapit Star 8.00 2.8 5-1
11 9 J. E.’s Handmedown 6.00 3.1 6-1
14 12 Hoonani Road 1.20 3.1 6-1
8 6 Bebop Shoes 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Mallard’s Bro 30.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Midnight Ruler 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Chantmeupbaby 30.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Bandit Point 20.00 4.8 9-1
12 10 Dutch Treat 20.00 4.8 9-1
13 11 East Moon Lake 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secret Passage 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Rocky Tough 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 3 Chris and Dave 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Adulator 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Retirement Fund 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Extirpator 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Catdaddy 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Eisenstaedt 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chief of Staff 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Imma Bling 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fascilitator 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Smart Spree 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Gentrified 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Malibu Pro 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 8 Dan the Go to Man 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Getoffmyback 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 7 Basic Chance 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 9 Bow and Arrow 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Data Driven 15.00 4 8-1
8 6 Mines Made Up 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Oaklawn Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harvey Wallbanger 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Math Wizard 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Roiland 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Hidden Ruler 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Laughing Fox 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Shang 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Comedian 15.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Night Ops 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Proverb 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Wicked Indeed 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Chess Chief 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Samicean (GER) 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Street Trust 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Indian Gulch 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 3 The Rouge Diesel 12.00 2.8 5-1
1A 7 Husky Clipper 12.00 3 6-1
8 9 Ucanthankmelater 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tales of War 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Consultation 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Treasury Bill 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 8 Yeowzer 20.00 5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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