May 4, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gemodixie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wee Miss Dorothy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny My Way | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am On My Way | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trapps Star | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Star Lo | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Candy Boss | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Command | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ouro Verde | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rochela | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prayforacure | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stoneheart Lady | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Month of Sundays | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Firey and Gorgeous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lights Down Low | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sidereal | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Dazzle Me | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Upgrade | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Irish Jonah | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pascha Pascha | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cowgirl Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Get Over It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nj’squeen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Pogey | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | American Ali | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All in Girl | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Mist | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Iza One | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Driver’s License | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Awe Mun | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Flat Rate | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Vorian | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizprocess | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Tez | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vegas Tycoon | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brown Essence | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Empty House | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy No Sabay | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Red Wagon | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Pretty Venezuela | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Valiant Spirit | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | La Vale | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mary Costa | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roll On Big Mama | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nth Degree | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Offlee Optimistic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heatherly | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whitney Cove | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapidez | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookingforanewspot | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autobahn Express | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tchaikovsky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ebo Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Global Citizen | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamrocked | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nottoway | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ark in the Dark | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Special | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest River | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Factum | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Exchange | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Caniform | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cognac Cutie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queena Esther | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malandrina | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zafiro Azul | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baltimore Beauty | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Thirsty | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.