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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2019

May 5, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Call Me 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Admiral Blue 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Raging Fire 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sandy Lane 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Thank You So Much 20.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Free Coffee 4.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Painted Image 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mrs Stinkman 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Blue Jean Kitten 1.60 SCRATCH
5 1 Zandora 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 3 Kickin Kimberly 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 4 Avocado 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 2 Bizness Beauty 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 5 G. T. Sonia 30.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starlite Mission 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Trouble for Skylar 1.20 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bowl of Kisses 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 My Lightnin Strike 20.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cathy Naz 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Promise Me Roses 6.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Honorable Rose 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dearly Declared 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Rossellini 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lough Na Mona 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sarah’s Rainbow 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Crescent Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Star of the East 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 J J Jen 12.00 SCRATCH
13 6 Lady Macho 2.50 1.6 3-1
14 7 Princess Pinky 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Caralicious 50.00 2.1 4-1
12 5 Recess 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 3 Two Graces 20.00 2.7 5-1
11 4 Magic Fairy 10.00 3 6-1
5 2 Violetas Visions 50.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Waving Flags 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nova Sol (GER) 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Cafe Americano 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stefanie On Fleek 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Two Dozen Roses 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Passing Out 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Western Curl 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Cassies Dreamer 10.00 1.3 2-1
11 4 Zee Drop 5.00 1.5 3-1
12 5 Figure It Out 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 3 Style and Grace 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Distorted News 15.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Simply Fast 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Irish Lassie 2.50 0.9 2-1
7 6 Bel Cuore 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Devil’s Flair 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Vampish 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Sweet Meadow Mist 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Flying Pleasantly 12.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Big Gemmy 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Playwright 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ro Bear 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Dynamax Prime 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Doups Point 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Whistling Birds 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ten Twenty Nine 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Trip Ups 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Big Thicket 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruffian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Come Dancing 0.40 1.2 2-1
1 1 Pacific Wind 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Pink Sands 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Frostie Anne 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sun Studio 15.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Private Beach 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Quasar 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Liza Jambalaya 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Restructure 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 White Mischief 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 5 Effiemeister 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 4 Gottahaveaholiday 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 6 Hunting Season 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Savvy Cairo 12.00 3 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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