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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2019

May 5, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rinse and Repeat 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Continental Divide 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Foster Boi 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Unbridled Ethos 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fast as Cass 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Preaching Trainer 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Minoso 12.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spanish Bay 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Conquest Smartee 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Street Image 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Reedley 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Vermeer 10.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swamp Souffle 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Contagion 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Synthesis 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Gregorian Chant (GB) 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tikkun Olam 4.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blue Skye Jade 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Derby Storm 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Friday’s At Shady 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Palace Sage 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Spectator’s Dream 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Jonathantoquick 8.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Indoctrination (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Ocean Fury 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tastemaker 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Aussie Fox 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Armed Wall 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Boru 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Refractometer 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Silent Musketier 20.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beleth 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Sly 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Arcaro 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Madman 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Passing 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 On Easy Street 15.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flammetta 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Achira 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Meal Ticket 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mirth 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Siberian Iris (IRE) 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Moonless Sky 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ms Peintour 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Anna Pavlova (SAF) 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Ippodamia’s Girl 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tough But Nice 1.40 1.1 2-1
2 2 Kochees 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Don’t Stalk Me 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Platinum Equity 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lucky Staxx 3.50 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 No Parking Here 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jetovator 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Hit the Seam 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Air Jockey 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Golden Birthday 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jamming Eddy 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Desmond Doss 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Good Bye Putin 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Flicflac 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Unusually Handsome 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Gooch Express 15.00 4.9 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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