June 8, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lively Spell | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Templesis | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Banker | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Time Girl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wazz Dat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Get None | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Hearts | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Devine | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U Turn the Page | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Four O One K | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Numbers Game | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingsbury Dream | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rich Tradition | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Harlan’s Vador (ARG) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peppermint Crunch | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crow Moon | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off to the Beach | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cup Game | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tres Generaciones | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Borodino | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Image | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Carnegie | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ruler | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wedding Belle | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nurse Sadie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonita Bay | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizaladybug | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Field Daisey | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Wonder Girl | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Di | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glamour Gal | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Montana | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Memory Bank | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cammack | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Christian C | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Misspent Youth | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chief Oakie Dokie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Golden Dragon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bulldog of Bergen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Surf Shack | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kenai Cool | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dance Like Katie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thirsty Cowgirl | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | All the Things | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Atlantic | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Attack | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ohmymy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Sharperthanme | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hero of Gold | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pretty Sweet Chic | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ghaaleb’s Appeal | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Meeka | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Joyful Night | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Firewater Rocket | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Oochie | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Regal Serenade | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rake It Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sharing a Laugh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Launch Away | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ronamo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Juan Pablo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hero of the Hour | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kaliningrad | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | What a Hoot | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Old Fitz | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Story | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Tapizart | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Canary Islands | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rustic Rick | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy D | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maligator | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speared | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contraction | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Andrew the Giant | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Legacy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High On Sugar | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Intent | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Workingforaliving | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Castle | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxus | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.