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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 19, 2019

July 19, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Funny Questions 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Revolt 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Candy My Boy 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 4 Irish Proud 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Rich E Z 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Not Chopped Liver 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Little Baltar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Miss Izzy 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 War Beauty 2.50 3 6-1
4 3 U R My Sunshine 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Karate Hottie 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Victory Rose 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Shes Just Capital 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Featherstone 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Wazz Dat 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Almafuerte 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 4 Lady Warrior 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Daneira 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Away She Glows 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Wayaway 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Catherine Eugenia 15.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Peppermint Ice 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Uknowiaintlying 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 2 Kingsbury Dream 5.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Old Fort 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 3 Unite the Masses 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Kaliningrad 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 V Man 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tornado Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Olympic Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Two Emmys 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tommytoshort 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cloudcraze 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Rocket Ride 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Cats Valentine 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sequins Storm 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Tio Chuy 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 El Payaso 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Donner Pass 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Trombone Easton 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Back Page Star 4.50 SCRATCH
7 3 Straight Up Smarty 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 4 Room to Finish 3.00 3.4 7-1
5 2 Trophy Doll (IRE) 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Appealing Way 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tasseography 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cholla 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bella Bella 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 True Loyalty 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Ioya Again 4.50 4.9 9-1
12 7 Juan Pablo 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Charlie’sarchangel 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Magical Mystery 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Ludington 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 4 Dollar Blue 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Vincitore 4.00 SCRATCH
10 6 What a Hoot 15.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Treasure Trove 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rough Justice 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Defender 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rustic Rick 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bonita Bay 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Nurse Sadie 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Super Wonder Girl 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Majestic Waters 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Del Mar Babe 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mo Buckets 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Hero of Gold 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Flower House 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Ashley’s New Shoes 4.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Lady Di 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Quality too Spare 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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