July 20, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Verrazano | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forest Lass | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Sign | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vesperanza | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ailis | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Sage | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Good to Go | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cassie’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Pecan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Red Queen’s Court | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maxis Babe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Savvy’s Sister | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nana Sav | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stellatara | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamondsinhereyes | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hillbillyhyde | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Macho Mama | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taravila | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Screen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onezy’s Dream | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Edition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noble Hope | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Armistice Day | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Encierro | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Speed | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inventing Blame | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inclusive | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Joy’s Solution | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Street Zapper | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ekati Peace | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kitten’s Finest | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maritime Breeze | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Vengeance | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Off My Tail | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Noble Fever | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Canary Song | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stranded | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Castle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Worlds Apart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Short Summer Dress | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magnanimous | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gun Society | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honey Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Born Ready | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pastel Emily | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Good Witch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Magic Flute | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dancing Doll | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brookies Bear | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caspian Jewel | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Secret Masquerade | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Deed’s Legacy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Princess Fabiana | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wuk Up Queen | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbortunistic | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau’s Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zyanza | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bonnie Lee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goldrush Glory | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Podgora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shakari | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Skygaze | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Machine | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Muskoka Dancer | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tara Dawn | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Merveilleux | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quality Heat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ballrooms of Mars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Colleen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sister Peacock | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Speedy Soul | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carnival Colors (GB) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Double Medal | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enjay’s Brass | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seek and Destroy | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Bermuda (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Take the Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holyanna | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wings of Dawn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Express Banking | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dance Along Dede | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Happycrest | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | First Memory | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Playing Smart | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Onherway | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Range Marker | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Typically | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mamita’s Chica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Artie Deco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Salute With Honor | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Souper Fly Over | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Bankable | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aheadbyacentury | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold’emforransom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bear Paw | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Lilibet | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benevida | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baby Driver | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marvel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amiens | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo in the Forest | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Power House | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mahone Bay | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Daymare | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobbi’s Legacy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockyroadto Dublin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Queen Andher Court | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.