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Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2019

July 21, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elusive Force 1.20 1.7 3-1
6 6 Fern 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Patch’s Lugh 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Saturdays Hangover 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 High Hero 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Trumpified 4.50 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barnyard Fiddler 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sunny’s Rainbow 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Flyingbyu 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Pamir 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Kinsella 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Romeo O Romeo 5.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kim Dandy 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Meeka 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Looktheotherway 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Checotah 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 5 Belle Brezing 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Aviating 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fair Maiden 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pixelate 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lykan 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Twin Turbo 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Go Little Gert Go 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Beau Oxy 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fame Is Rough 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Four Left Feet 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Mongol Bull 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Jive Daddy 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 He Is Rhuthless 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Boom Box 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 He’s Dann Good 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Greenhorn 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Franklin County 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Senor Blanco 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 3 Love Your Buttons 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ghost Position 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Two Pair 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 5 Dragunov 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hart Hills Road 12.00 SCRATCH
11 7 Rio Seco 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 High On Sugar 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 6 Campioni 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Zanforce 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fort Dixie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Cloche 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Carissa Crismas 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Meghan 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gentle Touch 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Detour 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Field Daisey 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Quality too Spare 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Bird Key 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 I Love to Race 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Clear N Convincing 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Trumpi 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Moonlight Mischief 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Betwithbothhands 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Never Even Called 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Lemon Blitz 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Surf Shack 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 He’s Cheeky 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sea Rover 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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