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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 21, 2019

July 21, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Markhan 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Repeat Repeat 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Gaye Breeze (IRE) 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Cite 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Whitman’s Poetry 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Roller Rolls On 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Zeppelin Ride 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Renown (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brush Country 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mandatory Payout 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blue Gem 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Heyitsnricopalazo 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Somebody 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Threatlovesmidnite 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Business Cycle 1.20 SCRATCH
8 8 Mission Statement 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Skywriting 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Bad Boy 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 3 Dillon Rocks 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Heirloom Kitten 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Foti 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Crypto Gold 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 On a Spree 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Borough Boy 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Value Engineering 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Coaching Club American Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guarana 0.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 Boxwood 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Champagne Anyone 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Point of Honor 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Off Topic 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Per Capita 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Majority Rules 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Spice Road 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Scars Are Cool 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ranger Up 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Tough Times 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Fireball Shot 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mamma Dee 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Chestnut Street 2.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Galadriel’s Light 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Art Buff 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Ragtime Suzy 15.00 7.7 14-1
12 11 Kinky Sox 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Solitary Gem 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Take Charge Tina 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Kickin Kimberly 5.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Trixie’s Time 10.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Roses From Ben 30.00 12.5 24-1
11 11 Infatuation 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dynamic Miss 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Appreciate 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Stormy D 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Incredible Miss 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fly So Pretty 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Sequin 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mom’s Pass 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Meritaten 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sharing 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Queen of Shades 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Crack of Dawn 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Miss My Macho 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Ill Will 15.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Giggle Factory 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Sparkling Sky 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Voting Agreement 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Star Command 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Divided Sky (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Magic Motion 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Persian Queen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr Thrifty 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Basin 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Yankee Empire 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Three Technique 3.50 4.7 9-1
11 10 Lucky Curlin 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 American Butterfly 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Excession 8.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 He’s Super Lucky 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Eagles Palace 10.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Federale 15.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Social Afleet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Variant Perception 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Halladay 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Penalty 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 4 Lonhtwist 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Hoboe 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 6 Morrison 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 9 Saintly Samurai 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Rapt 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 5 King Cause 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bernin’ Thru Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Uncle Sigh 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Majestic Affair 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Long Haul Bay 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Restoring Hope 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Identity Politics 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Borracho 3.50 4 7-1
5 4 No Distortion 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Own Agenda 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Giuseppe the Great 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Be Gone Daddy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Caress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Morticia 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Significant Form 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Factorofwon 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Broadway Run 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Fire Key 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Mominou 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Miss Gossip (IRE) 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Jc’s Shooting Star 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Mrs. Ramona G. 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Internet of Things 4.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Pipes 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Nutzforboltz 8.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Masterkey 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Not So Quiet Man 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Riendo 6.00 6 11-1
7 6 He’smyluckyfellow 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Monaghan 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Steelersfanforlife 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Risky Sour 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Fleet Admiral 30.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Bad Guy 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hokulea 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Daddy Knows 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Shuvee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Wow Cat (CHI) 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 She’s a Julie 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pink Sands 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Golden Award 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Forever Liesl 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Skeptic 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Coach Rocks 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Electric Forest 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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