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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 18, 2019

August 18, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Graceygab 1.60 3.7 7-1
1 1 Variance 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Molly’s Dolly 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Keepupthemessage 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sweetbriar 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Iza One 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Do I Ever 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 She’s Got Sugar 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Irish Fix 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Marie From Parie 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Caterina One 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Creedibility 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Flirtation Walk 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Oh So Lovely 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Missimard 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 River Sonata 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Castle Ridge 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Emma’sdiamonddiva 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Majestic Pic 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sierra Leona 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Grecian Dancer 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dear Charlotte 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Letmeslidebyyou 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Postino’s Secret 8.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nico Bree N Teej 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Absolved 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Bustoff 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tom Hagen 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Legend’s Hope 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Earned It 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stroll Smokin 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Time Flies By 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Geyser 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Jo’s Bold Cat 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Cabinet Pik 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Grand River 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Vineyard 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Railmaster 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Onemoregreattime 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Too Much Data 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love You Much 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Scrap Copper 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Factor It In 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Jarvis Steel 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Coop Tries Harder 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Tempt Me Twice 3.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Don’t Poke the Cat 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Shane’s Jewel 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Uplifting 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nottoway 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Boots 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hello Amigo 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Fernwood Drive 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Start With Yes 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mission Oberon 8.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Destruction 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Fincastle 10.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 C C Old Fashioned 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Ziggy Mon 12.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 McPherson 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Zitarrosa 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Creative Artist 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Special Intention 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Unequivocal 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Benevolent Prince 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Homeofthe Lombardi 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jumping Michelle 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Hendaya 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Pantyhose 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 One Two Three Go 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Stay Out 2.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Polished Gal 20.00 6.1 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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