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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 24, 2019

August 24, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Frontier Market 0.80 5.2 10-1
5 2 Keep Quiet (FR) 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 7 Lemonist 4.00 6.5 12-1
1A 6 Unleveraged 0.80 6.7 13-1
7 4 Aveenu Malcainu 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 3 Gemonteer 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 8 Penalty 6.00 8.7 16-1
4 1 Memories of Peter 12.00 9.7 18-1
1X 13 Identity Politics 0.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Own Agenda 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Frammento 15.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Majestic Affair 5.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Achilles Warrior 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tap It to Win 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Complexifier 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Atoka 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 5 O’Trouble 5.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Moonshine Now 10.00 9.6 18-1
7 6 Onward 3.50 10.9 21-1
8 7 Icecap 12.00 12.3 23-1
5 5 African Heritage 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Charreada 4.50 5.6 11-1
7 6 Balon Rose 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 First Wave 3.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Ocean Fire 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 8 Dabinett 6.00 8.8 17-1
12 11 Confessing 6.00 9.5 18-1
10 9 Bossy Bride 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 3 Sara Sea 30.00 10.6 20-1
11 10 Lady Rosalie (IRE) 15.00 11.3 21-1
8 7 Madame Orbe 15.00 11.9 23-1
5 4 New York Charmer 15.00 12.3 23-1
1 1 Funny Flowers 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Magical Time 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Payne 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Bernin’ Thru Gold 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 T Loves a Fight 4.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Off the Record 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Sicilia Mike 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Shamrocked 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Puttheglassdown 12.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Proschema 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 American Rule 50.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Performer 2.50 9.3 18-1
2 2 Dark N Cloudy 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Tight Ten 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Forego S. Presented By Encore Boston Harbor

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Promises Fulfilled 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mitole 0.80 6.2 12-1
4 4 Killybegs Captain 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Air Strike 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Bon Raison 12.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Firenze Fire 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ketel One Ballerina S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Come Dancing 1.20 3.9 7-1
4 3 Separationofpowers 1.80 5.6 11-1
7 5 Dawn the Destroyer 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Mia Mischief 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Special Relativity 12.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Pacific Gale 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Minit to Stardom 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S. Presented By Runhappy

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shancelot 0.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Rowayton 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Hog Creek Hustle 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Borracho 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Mind Control 15.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Nitrous 10.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Call Paul 15.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Twelfth Labour 50.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 The Big S 50.00 12.9 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Indian Blessing (GB) 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Starship Jubilee 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Fifty Five 5.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Significant Form 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Hogans Holiday 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Secret Message 3.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Scottish Jig 10.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Mascha (FR) 4.50 11 21-1
6 6 Conquest Hardcandy 15.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S. Presented By Lia Infiniti

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Bisou 1.20 3.9 7-1
5 5 Wow Cat (CHI) 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 Elate 1.40 4.1 8-1
6 6 Golden Award 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 She’s a Julie 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Coach Rocks 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sword Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Annals of Time 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Channel Maker 3.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Noble Thought 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Proven Reserves 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Ya Primo (CHI) 3.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Channel Cat 5.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Sadler’s Joy 4.50 8.6 16-1
2 2 Tiz Morning 50.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Runhappy Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mucho Gusto 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Owendale 6.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Tacitus 2.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Looking At Bikinis 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Highest Honors 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Code of Honor 4.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Endorsed 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Tax 6.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Everfast 30.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Scars Are Cool 30.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Chess Chief 30.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Laughing Fox 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 11 Dowse’s Beach 2.50 4 7-1
11 10 Discretionary Marq 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Fled 4.50 5.3 10-1
10 9 Royal Asset 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Shiraz 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Ghost Giant 5.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Durkin’s Call 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Ethan Hunt 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Five Star Bunt 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Alien Season 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Outrageous Bet 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Show Prince 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Light the Posse 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Banana Thief 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Colonel Tom 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sudden Surprise 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Razeena 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 So Gracious 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hidden Facts 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Keepme in Thegame 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Five Alarm Robin 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Aymara 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Magic Star 3.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Kelleycanrun 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Pat Pat Pat 5.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Tiltingatwindmills 12.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Macabre 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 To a Friend 20.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Cairo Cutie 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Quasar 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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