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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2019

September 21, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Destruction 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 2 Blackshear 1.80 4.7 9-1
6 5 Hit It Big 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 3 Palimpsest 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Nothing Yet 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Unconquered Spirit 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Come On Callie 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Paolla’s Heart 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lady Warbucks 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vampish 1.80 4.3 8-1
1 1 Indian Myth 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Graceygab 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Available Star 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Speedy Hans 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Wandering West 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Arctic Rose 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Self Taught 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Pitching Ari 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Crooked Currency 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Tiger Paw 10.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Perfetto 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Potomac River 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Charlie Mops 5.00 6.6 12-1
12 11 Bobby the Brain 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Dreaming of Frank 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 King Gatto 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Imposing Will 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 I Got the Brahms 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Bosco Bob’s Baby 30.00 9.8 18-1
10 9 Perp 12.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Ox Bro 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Panama Papers 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Veya 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Expect Drama 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Nick Papagiorgio 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tuff Duff 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Threethehardway 2.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Pawn It Back 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Lefty Comming 8.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Tremblant 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starsrup 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Delancey’s Philly 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 East to West 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 One Slick Chick 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ultimate Justice 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Lively Lea 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Grand Entrada 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nosey Josy 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Anabella Queen 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Tyche 4.50 5.8 11-1
11 10 That’s That 3.00 6.2 12-1
12 11 A Toast to Kay 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Cailin Alainn 15.00 8.7 16-1
4 3 Maryland’s Miracle 12.00 10 19-1
6 5 Ocean Delight 20.00 11.3 21-1
5 4 Pure Magic 12.00 11.6 22-1
8 7 Unlimited Upside 20.00 12.2 23-1
7 6 Helen’s Pitch 20.00 13.4 25-1
3 3 So Who’s Back 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neyami 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 5 Hashtag Selfie 1.80 4 8-1
2 2 Red Wagon 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 All Good Times 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Special Risk 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Unbridled Escape 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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