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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2019

September 21, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Outofthepark 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Lion Charmer 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Five Alarm Robin 2.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Stand My Ground 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Go Lover 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Junior Senator 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Auld Lange Syne 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Aladdin Sane 12.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Antipoison 20.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 A King’s Ransom 12.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pensaba 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 My Queen Michelle 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sea Story 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Height of Thestorm 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Olin’s Honor 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Portulaca 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Vow to Dance 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Kickstartmyheart 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Selima S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sunset Promise 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Love Beach 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Sharing 1.80 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sky Kitten 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Midship Lady 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Romney Marsh 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Rising Bella 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stroll Smokin 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 By the Sey Shore 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Onemoregreattime 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Runforthemunnings 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Baptize the Boy 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Hargus 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 American Rule 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Victory Chimes 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irish Mias 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Field Pass 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Doc Boy 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Torres Del Paine 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Mischevious Alex 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Jack the Ripper (FR) 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Benny Havens 30.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Fair Haired Boy 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 The Quantico Kid 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bald Eagle Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inclusive 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 He’s No Lemon 2.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Another Mystery 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Jais’s Solitude 2.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Hanalei’s Houdini 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Zonda 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Channel Island 6.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Thomond Park 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Changi 20.00 11.8 22-1
8 8 Critical Data (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Caribou Club 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Frontier Market 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Macagone 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Just Howard 4.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Up the Ante 6.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Glorious Empire (IRE) 3.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Cullum Road 12.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Golden Brown 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 He Hate Me 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Killybegs Captain 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Old Time Revival 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bon Raison 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Altissimo 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 New York Central 2.50 6.1 12-1
1 1 Wonderful Light 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sparticle 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Laurel Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dubini 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Oldies But Goodies 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Dirty 3.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Fielder 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Smokin Nitro 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Dr. Shane 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Square Shooter 5.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Nice Tune 30.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Clever Triad 12.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Pool Winner 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Goldwood 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Unaquoi 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Escapade 10.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Fire Key 4.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Souper Echo 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Originator 12.00 7.7 15-1
13 13 Fame Feather 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 La Dame Blanche 10.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Fear No Evil 6.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 She’s All Skeet 15.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Dance Or Stroll 20.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Mr. Al’s Gal 30.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Rocky Policy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Weathervane S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Meadow Dance 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Needs Supervision 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jennemily 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bunting 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 M C Hamster 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Decoupage 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Adventurous Lady 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Talkthetalk 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Foggy Dreams 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Lady T N T 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Take Charge Angel 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zieg 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Hello Amigo 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mystic Times 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Coffee Please 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bayano 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Boss of Bourbon St 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Street Silence 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Great Go Go 8.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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