Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2019

September 21, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Project Whiskey 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Boom Boom Girl 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Aseelah 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mary’s Song 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 5 Mrs. Phelps 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tale of Perfect La 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 3 Brooklyn Heights 8.00 8.4 16-1
1A 4 Arima 8.00 9.6 18-1
5 6 Explosive Package 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Independence Hall 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Vanzzy 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Informative 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Get Set 2.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Irish Riviera 5.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Ny Traffic 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Richie’s Edge 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Blood Runner 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Invitation Only 15.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Croi Mor 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 6 Richie Goes Global 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Critical Review 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 9 Buy Land and See 2.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Perfect Daydream 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Saint Marco 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Runningforhome 10.00 8.7 16-1
6 5 Quick Enough 4.00 8.9 17-1
1A 8 A Gray for Carolyn 8.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rumor Ridge 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Blue Eyed Girl 1.40 3.7 7-1
5 5 Malibu Mischief 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Coupella 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 8 Sweet Turn 20.00 9.4 18-1
1A 3 Runnin On Sunshine 30.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Sidereal 15.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 Glowing Star 30.00 11.6 22-1
2X 8 Marvella 1.40 SCRATCH
3 2 Mineshaft Madness 10.00 SCRATCH
8 10 Chorite 30.00 SCRATCH
9 11 Excess Capacity 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Alphabet Soup H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Smooth B 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Pumpkin Rumble 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 6 Saratoga Jack 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Taxable Goods 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 5 Missin the Big Dog 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Papal Law 15.00 7 13-1
12 7 My Friend Frank 8.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Chilly in Charge 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Charmn Charlie Ray 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Brevard Place 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sweet Bye and Bye 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Someday Jones 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Plum Pretty S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Imply 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Rose Tree 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Trace of Grace 4.50 5.6 10-1
3 3 Trolley Ride 3.50 6.1 11-1
5 4 Mill and Gloria 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Sweet Maggie Mae 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Diva Drama 15.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Hay Buck 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Turf Amazon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rocky Policy 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Too Much Tip 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Miss Gossip (IRE) 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Enthusiastic Gal 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Stetson Gold 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Folk Magic 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Wildcat Combat 15.00 9 17-1
8 8 Change of Control 4.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Boos (FR) 1.20 9.4 18-1
1A 4 Goldwood 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Dirt Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Coal Front 1.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Diamond King 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Grasshoppin 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Forewarned 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 5 Golden Brown 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 3 Wild About Deb 30.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Bonus Points 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monongahela 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bob S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 King Jack 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Landeskog 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Trophy Chaser 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Strong Will 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Bulletin 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 War Bridle 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 War Tocsin 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Bethlehem Road 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Get Hammered 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cotillion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Guarana 1.80 3.1 6-1
10 10 Bellafina 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Serengeti Empress 3.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Jaywalk 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Street Band 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Horologist 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Jeltrin 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Collegeville Girl 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Sweet Sami D 20.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Afleet Destiny 30.00 13.5 26-1
7 7 She Makes Me Smile 50.00 14.9 28-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Improbable 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mr. Money 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 War of Will 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Math Wizard 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Spun to Run 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Shanghai Superfly 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Maximum Security 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Cowboy Mz 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Midnightcharly 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 5 Factor It In 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 7 Long May You Run 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bolita Boyz 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 His Name Is Sue 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 8 Love Is Your Name 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Jw’strickymischief 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Monteleone 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 South Sea 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Irish Colonel 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Mr Thrifty 4.50 1.9 4-1
1A 4 Intentional Walk 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Chase Tracker 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 8 More Thunder 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 6 Favorite Grandson 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Spaceman 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 1 Lets Play Hardball 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 5 Indy’s Jewel 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 7 New Commission 15.00 5.2 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version