September 26, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Paz the Wine | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Muskoka | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petipa | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Misdriven | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There Goes My Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lana | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Make the Rules | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapitontheside | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Promise | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eliav | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meetmeatthewire | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Rose by Any Name | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Code Name Brody | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid Citizen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swivel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kowboy King | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleetfootmac | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devastating Move | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed At Mass | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bearsatlanticmist | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Princess | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern n’ Sassy | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey Life | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Glory | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thump | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballerina Kitten | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cocktail Waitress | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Battle Honours | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rolling Palisades | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | David’s Prospec | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miami Steve | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Initforthelove | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Smokin Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Mysurewinwilliams | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erin Go Braugh | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlinsdale | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avante Light | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Death Dealer | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Rocky Diplomat | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Culloden | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Shes Dynomite | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Miss Aja Brown | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Talkless Smilemore | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Emelina | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I Dream of Lois | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Speed Khaleesi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fleur de Force | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wicked Fun | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honor N Grace | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Desert Princess | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Honey Belle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Giant Viking | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racehorseinared | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Volente | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Terrific | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamin N Schemin | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Romeo | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hope Drive | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.