October 12, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wisecrack | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fleet Tweet | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chubble Gum | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Geebert | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Ask George | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cousin Pete | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Partner’s Power | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diagonal | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ticked All Daboxes | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lt. Columbo | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Fox Z | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Loaded Joe | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Raggy Rocks | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chinese Takeout | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Marnesia One Step | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | My Man Elvis | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tom Terrific | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Caecilius | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Damocles Sword | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thunderstorm | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indy’s Quick Image | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Ruckus | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bourbonatboylesbar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Northern Beauty | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heraway | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Li’lbito’charm | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Terpeye | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Goddess of Cash | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate’s Bull’s Bay | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posseineffecttoo | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yours Completely | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geewhatsinurwallet | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Smarty Socks | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patty’s Temple | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Via Avanti | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Almost Evil | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Too Much Minutia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magical Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tempting the Tiger | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jane’s Factor | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Built Better | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nonno Pietro | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Obviously Dramatic | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spartak | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lusty Dude | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Town Blues | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rated Special | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brilliant Worth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cruise Control | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cornet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zumbya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Alibi Breakfast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Asbury Ave | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Grandson | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Commission | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Monday Morning Qb | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Otis Otis Otis | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Get Set | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Informative | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maclean’s Legacy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ny Traffic | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Darkness | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Wego | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vanzzy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mt Suribachi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Perfect Daydream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Default Rate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Happyascanb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Calibrator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | To the Flag | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlemissbusiness | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Untouchable U | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thatta Boy Girl | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancin Debbie | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jemrose | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spanky | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Warrior | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Natalie La Rose | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Her Divineness | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billy No Sabay | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Running Free | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charity Stripe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Special Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Malandrina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Princess Palomar | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Elnath | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Annika Gold | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Vested Venture | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Bounty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Yes Mz Adah | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Only Essa | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chorite | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Serious Happiness | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Georgia Bonnet | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Princess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Abuela Loca | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Free Coffee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Heart Beat Away | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Hammers Vision | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elevated | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Forge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Street Tail | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Bridget’s Big Luvy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Maimo | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Royalty Salvatore | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cardio Cowboy | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runs for Luck | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brio Man | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Breeze | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Chasing My Halo | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inky Dinky Do | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drosselmagic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fire Sparx | 20.00 | 1000 | 1890-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hot N Spicy Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Someday Jones | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun to Run | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zanotti | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Phat Man | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bon Raison | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carlos L. | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V. I. P. Code | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senior Investment | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Bleu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | South Sea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Awe Mun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Surfer Boy George | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hail to the King | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pinatubo | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vorian | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape May Style | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sr.’s Thrill | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louie’s Wish | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Another Smarty | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rules | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Tycoon | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Victoria | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | No Hitter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Street Officer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Anxious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dramatized | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.