November 9, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monaco Princess | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Imperial | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Year’s Wish | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Disguise | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daria’s Angel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Smack | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Balon Rose | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Fire | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | So Gracious | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navasha | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Don’t Fight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Take Ten | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keepme in Thegame | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Champagne Diet | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracely | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jasminesque | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapit to Ride | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Kitchen | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fritzi | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Begonia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Celestial Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Legion Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thomond Park | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spectator Sport | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spinning Kitten | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Choice | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Amanjena | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Invest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sport | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Devoted Kitten | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | River Knight | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raphael | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Smidge | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Imperial Brew | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dull Knife | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Decadence | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | Elios Milos | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Last Buck | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Bustin Mach Four | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tizanoxbow | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Somebody | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Union Wise | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indian Ghost | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freudian Sip | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Cat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Bet | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Boom Boom Girl | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Luck Money | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aziza | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fashion Rules | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ylikedis | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Water White | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Seducer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Look Me Over | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ill Will | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Espressoandacheck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stunning Sky | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Persisto | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cherokee Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | She’samericanmade | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Kissing Frogs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Instilled Regard | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lemonist | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devamani (FR) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dream Friend | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Dakota | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aquaphobia | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Another | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Strike Me Down | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ninety One Assault | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flavius | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Westerland (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rapt | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Krewe Chief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Reason | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pink Sands | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saguaro Row | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Way | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Philanthropic | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last True Love | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golconda (FR) | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Caribou Club | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frontier Market | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curlin’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Voodoo Song | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Howard | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Free Enterprise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Gidu (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dr. Edgar | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Brown | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Abiding Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stan the Man | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gunnison | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dynamax Prime | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freewheeler | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embolden | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack and Noah (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Street | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Chestnut | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mystic Lancelot | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Daddy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turned Aside | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fly Fly Away | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Prince of Thieves | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Me and Mr. C | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Axiomo | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Big Package | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dubai Bobby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Aasr | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Toledo | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Onward | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Malibu Edge | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Flatter Me | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Colloquist | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Divine Leader | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Traffic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Manolito | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Verify | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Zuzudini | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hunt the Front | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.