November 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Friends Beer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mine Not Mine | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roof Top Bar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Proof | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Security Breach | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chauffeur | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximo Strong | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Under a Spell | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Kathak | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Successful Zip | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Boss Boss | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shelly Island | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Belmullet | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | San Marco | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deputy Ben | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bourbon and Ice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gray Gary | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine Winning | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Quantico Kid | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Frank’s Way | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Please the Court | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Perfect | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing the Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Noise | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazzy Juder | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Intrepid Forest | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queena Esther | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greasedlightning | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Include Gold | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Khaleesi | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Dancer | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Postino’s Secret | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gone Home | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Audacious Quality | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pinar | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johng | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Really Felix | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Animate | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Somewhere | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muhlenberg | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sincere Man | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ludicrous Mode | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miami Steve | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Friend Casper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laddie Liam | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Love | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super John | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird King | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perpetrate | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Poser | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crocketts Bluff | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | High Roller | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | The Great Provider | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Bust Another | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Southside Warrior | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Self Start | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miners Quest | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Jonathan McD | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laser Loop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bo’s Image | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Streak | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Team Effort | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antipoison | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Striking It Lucky | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Song of Indy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Made It | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Two Three Go | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaprancy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caterina One | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Avenue | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polished Gal | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.