November 17, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Run | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baptize the Boy | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Man Cletus | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destruction | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Jazz | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Saviour | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey and You | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapping the Glass | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decorated | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justwaveandsmile | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devlin | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Harley | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brush Country | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factor It In | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time Flies By | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Lookout | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Meatball | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Railmaster | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Takechargmatriarch | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bahama Babe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paloma Gris | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pepper Pot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Dream | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Curlene | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Lady | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ursa | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Holy Juno | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gold Man | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Love | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cort’n Asong | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Hot Factor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cause He’s Western | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quit Your Moanin | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earned It | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redeemed Gentleman | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Legend’s Hope | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Gatto | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Blues | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Onemoregreattime | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Tom | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Align the Numbers | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Articulator | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Arion | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bustoff | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Full Salute | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinderela El Crome | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge to Victory | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Odds On | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Adira | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sudden Brilliance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Over the Hillary | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Rush | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tippy Tippy Tay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Omni Diva | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coin Operated | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daily News | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Orinoco | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly E Dubai | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozy Lover | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storming My Way | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Terp | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simmard Shenanigan | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trading Cents | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Patriot | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Rockin Blues | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bee’snbee’s | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.