November 21, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Aikenetta | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Secret Or Not | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Music Maker | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Case Dismissed | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Secret Trick | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Reiltin Oir | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Letmeslidebyyou | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulled the Goalie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irishtown | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El Bombaso | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Chill Out | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Force | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eje Gama | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirst for Quality | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brady’s Palace | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Total Access | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Spun Lad | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Del Po | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Walk Away Joe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fourteen Carrot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ol Buddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Halfinthewrapper | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whoisaprettygirl | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady George | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Luna | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Raphael | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shatter Me | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toogoodoo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Javoncia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gallanor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sybil’s Prophecy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trimmed in Grey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Princess | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Hopes | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Emmy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backcat | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bestatgettinbetter | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Laughs | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conquesthardcherry | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Words of a Feather | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marylander | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maranatha | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moti | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Going to the Lead | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itgot Grandma | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Pots N Pans | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Oberon | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Tour | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cast the Lot | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egregious | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Allthewrongreasons | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louis Treize | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Encaustic Gem | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Above It All | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritus | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Junior Jumper | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luv the Painter | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Class No Color | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tom Terrific | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Liar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Carthage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dusky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flirtation Walk | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come On Callie | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Crossing | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Kim | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Close the Deal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dah Philly | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Muskoka | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boom Boom Gone | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zig | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gottaflathaveher | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rona | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abilify | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bullets Lady | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Megalomania | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapdancing Girl | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My T Talk | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Towson | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missimard | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifteen K | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Outflanker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | S P F Ninetynine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.